Updated Jun. 15, 2024 4:01 p.m. ET
Data Skrive
Starling Marte and the New York Mets meet Jackson Merrill and the San Diego Padres at Citi Field on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET, in the second game of a three-game series. Bookmakers list the Mets as -132 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Padres +112 moneyline odds to win. New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total for the matchup is set at 8.5 runs.
Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Mets vs. Padres Game Information & Odds
- When: Saturday, June 15, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
- Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
- How to Watch on TV: SDPA
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -132 | +112 | 8.5 | -111 | -109 | -1.5 | +156 | -189 |
Mets vs. Padres Prediction
- Score Prediction: Mets 5, Padres 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Mets 51%, Padres 49%
Mets vs. Padres Betting Insights
- The Mets have entered the game as favorites 31 times this season and won 16, or 51.6%, of those games.
- New York has entered 15 games this season favored by -132 or more and is 7-8 in those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.9% chance of a victory for the Mets.
- The Padres have come away with 12 wins in the 26 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, San Diego has won five of 11 games when listed as at least +112 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 47.2% chance of pulling out a win.
Mets Recent Betting Performance
- The Mets played as the moneyline favorite for five of their last 10 games, and finished 4-1 in those matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
- The Mets' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.
Mets Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.70 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
Mets Player Insights
- Francisco Lindor has been the Mets top run producer this season, leading the team with 32 RBI while hitting .229 with 11 home runs.
- Including all MLB hitters, Lindor ranks 114th in batting average, 121st in on-base percentage, and 80th in slugging.
- Pete Alonso's 14 home runs and 32 RBI both pace his team.
- Alonso is 15th in home runs and 63rd in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
- Marte has accumulated a team-best batting average of .286.
- Brandon Nimmo's 32 runs batted in are a team-high mark.
Mets Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Vientos | 0.5 (-185) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+370) | 0.5 (+170) |
| J.D. Martínez | 0.5 (-250) | 1.5 (+110) | 0.5 (+310) | 0.5 (+120) |
| Pete Alonso | 0.5 (-185) | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+350) | 0.5 (+150) |
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 (-205) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+425) | 0.5 (+180) |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 (-260) | 1.5 (+100) | 0.5 (+320) | 0.5 (+155) |
Learn more about this Mets vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.
Padres Recent Betting Performance
- The Padres have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and lost that contest.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
- The Padres have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Padres Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.52 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Padres Player Insights
- Jurickson Profar has a team-high 45 runs batted in.
- Among all hitters in the majors, Profar's home run total ranks 46th and his RBI tally is 16th.
- Fernando Tatis Jr.'s 13 home runs are a team-high total.
- Among all major league hitters, Tatis is 20th in homers and 47th in RBI.
- Ha-Seong Kim is hitting .220 with eight doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 42 walks.
- Luis Arraez paces the Padres with a team-leading batting average of .329.
Padres Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Merrill | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+145) | 0.5 (+700) | 0.5 (+190) |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 (-215) | 1.5 (+150) | 0.5 (+650) | 0.5 (+190) |
| Dónovan Solano | 0.5 (-215) | 1.5 (+145) | 0.5 (+700) | 0.5 (+185) |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.5 (-240) | 1.5 (+120) | 0.5 (+390) | 0.5 (+180) |
| Luis Arraez | 1.5 (+155) | 1.5 (+110) | 0.5 (+1200) | 0.5 (+220) |
Marlins vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX
Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the Miami Marlins and the New York Mets.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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